AFL Ladder

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AFL · Ladder & Season Sims · Monte Carlo

How does this season finish?

The current ladder plus a Monte Carlo projection of the remaining fixtures using TORP team strengths. Toggle the view to see finals probabilities and the full distribution of where each club lands.

Ladder

AFL ladder & finals rules — in order
  1. Most premiership points (4 for a win, 2 for a draw) across the home-and-away season
  2. Still level? Then:
  3. Percentage — points scored ÷ points conceded, × 100
  4. Still level on both? Head-to-head points, then head-to-head percentage, from just the games between the tied clubs
  5. Still tied after all that? Position is drawn by lot

New for 2026: the top ten clubs make finals, not eight. 7th plays 10th and 8th plays 9th in a sudden-death Wildcard Round — the two winners take the 7th and 8th finals seeds (highest-ranked winner gets 7th) into the Qualifying/Elimination Finals week. Clubs 1st–6th get a bye straight into that week. Finals ties go to extra time — never a draw, never a replay.

Recent Results

Position Distribution

The Finals Race

What’s already mathematically decided, regardless of the odds above. LOCKED means a club reaches the top 10 in every remaining outcome; OUT means it can’t reach the top 10 in any of them; IN THE HUNT means both are still possible. This is certainty, not probability — a club can be “in the hunt” here while showing a low percentage in the Monte Carlo columns further up the page.